Investment Insights

 

We forecast that Asia Pac ex Japan, Japan and Europe will outperform in the next six months, while the US should underperform and, thus, deserve an underweight stance vs. all other regions.

India: Modi Mania

Our investment management teams have again come together to update their views given new developments in India.

Japan's revised GDP: No Recession as Inventories Finally Realistic

Looking forward, even though inventories were revised higher, their long depletion means they remain far too low in my view, and should continue start to rise significantly in the quarters and years ahead.

Divergent monetary policy in US and Europe: Can it last?

As we enter 2016, we believe the divergent monetary policy theme will continue -- with the major risk to global bond markets and Fed rate rises continuing to be Europe.

What's to come? - China's RMB as a global reserve currency

The IMF's decision to include the Renminbi into the SDR is a major push for the RMB to become one of the world's major reserve currencies.

Australia: Lower GDP growth and CPI should mean lower 10-year bond yields

Our lead Australian fixed income portfolio manager discusses her intermediate-term outlook for the bond market “down under.”

Economic Disappointment in Japan Should not Worry Equity Investors

Once again, as has long been our view, disappointing macro-data should not worry investors in Japanese risk assets very much at all.

Asia ex-Japan Equities - Historic Price to Book Valuation buying opportunity emerges

Developed and emerging markets in Asia ex-Japan have clearly been under tremendous pressure in recent months, including redemptions of more than USD 50bn from the region in September, the heaviest ever witnessed.

Did ECB QE Jump-start Eurozone Earnings Like the US Experience?

We update our views on whether ECB QE has had a positive effect on corporate earnings.

Why the BOJ does not need to ease much, if at all

There are many reasons for the BOJ to defy consensus expectations for more easing.

Disruptive Innovation

Multi Asset Strategies to Capture Growth with Lower Volatility

The changing shape of China's economy